Predictive Disruption Management

PREDICTIVE DISRUPTION MANAGEMENT

Disruption is treated one cause at a time, so weather, delays, crewing and congestion compound into a bad day nobody modelled. The response is assembled in the moment, under pressure, from partial information.

Actors

  • Duty Operations Director
  • Control Room Manager
  • Contingency Planner

Systems / Vendors

  • AODB / A-CDM
  • MET / weather feed
  • Resourcing / rostering

Business Question

"Why do we handle each disruption alone until they've combined into a full-blown bad day?"

What SPoG Does

  • Models combined disruption scenarios across weather, delay, crew and demand.
  • Surfaces the proactive response before impact.
  • Re-runs the model as conditions evolve.

Outcome Metrics

−20%

Disruption-driven delays

1

Live scenario model

<12 wks

To first outcomes

Contact us to learn more →